Wednesday, November 25, 2020

Free Online Poker Guide To How To Avoid Bad Beats

 


Here's a weird fact for you - Without bad beats, no tournament, free online poker or otherwise will finish. This might seem a rather nonsensical proposition about the nature of poker tournaments, after all, preflop, for example, isn't it a prevalent belief that all-in players with A-K should win against callers with A-Q? And isn't it that players who move all-in with 8-8 should win against callers with A-K? And isn't it that players with A-A should win all the time?

Not at all. The 100% faith we have in these hands does not turn out to be 100% at all.

First, let us make a hypothetical poker tournament where players who move all-in preflop will decide their hands preflop.

Thus A-K is beat against 2-2, there and then preflop. A-K beats A-Q. And A-A beats everything.

Can you see how many callers there will be?

Callers will have to wait for premium hands before calling, and that will prolong the poker tournament.

Bad beats are some of the anomalies present in a poker tournament to shorten it.



Going back to out 100% faith in A-K against A-Q, our faith should not be 100% at all.


It should be 75% only, because A-K is beat by A-Q the remaining 25% of the time.


And with so many players who move all-in with A-K, a caller with A-x should win 25% of the time.


If 50 players in the tournament move all-in with A-K and 50 callers call with Ace-lower, isn't it expected that 1/4 of 50, or about 13 players, should get eliminated?



On pocket pairs against A-K, it is almost a coin flip.



It could be decided approximately by just flipping an actual coin.


In the long run, pocket pairs win, however, because of a slight edge.


But this does not mean that 8-8 will always win against A-K.


If 8-8 winning against A-K is an approximately 55-to-45 (or 11-to-9) favorite, then there are almost as many players winning an all-in with a small pair against two overcards as players knocked out in the tournament in the same situation.


The knocked out players should not fret; it's the laws of probability that are hanging.



When a player wants to avoid bad beats, of course that player will wait for premium hands. But waiting for premium hands will considerably diminish the player's stack because of blinding out.

That player should move all-in, at some time, or else suffer the oblivion of blinding out. But moving all-in does not guarantee a double-up; it is just a way of trying to restore your stack to a comfortable level. Bad beats must abound.

Here is a last note: Bad beats exist not only preflop, but also postflop.



Say Player X has 8-8 and Player Y has 7-6 in a board of 5-8-4-A.


Player X flopped a Set but Player Y hits a Straight.


If Player Y moves all-in and X calls, then Y's win is not assured yet.


X can still pair the Board for a Full House or Quads.


And if X does pair the board, we can call it a bad beat.



And it doesn't matter what their stack sizes are. Both players may be above chip average, with Y having less chips than X. So bad beats are ways to ensure speedy tournaments by eliminating anybody, short-stack or players at the top of the pack.

I hope this was thought provoking. The underlying message being that you should not assume that certain cards will always win, that's simply impossible. Plus bad beats really are not bad luck, it's just that you've been picked out by the laws of probability to have a bad beat!

With that said, think about some of the examples above. You can't avoid bad beats 100% but by understanding probability in poker you can reduce your risk and exposure to them by either folding certain types of hand more often, not going all-in or betting less so that if it does go bad you don't get taken out.

But at the end of the day the only way to avoid bad beats 100% is not to play poker! So hopefully when they come your bad beat games are on free online poker tables rather than in mortgage sized WSOP games!


Sunday, June 7, 2020

Christmas Table Games Can Help You Enjoy Your Holidays

Christmas Table Games Can Help You Enjoy Your Holidays
Aside from providing a great Christmas dinner, you can also plan Christmas table games and activities to have a fun bonding time with your family. In doing so, you will have enough time to prepare for the food while everyone is playing exciting games.
The following are some of the interesting Christmas table games:
Figuring out the dinner menu
In order to make things more thrilling, you can let everyone participate (except those working in the kitchen) in this fun activity. Let them guess about the dinner menu with each person having a smell on the food with eyes blindfolded. The first one who takes a guess correctly can take a sample bite.
Play board games
Take out a board game for kids like Snake and Ladders or Candyland and lay it out on the floor. Let grown up men (dads and even grandpas can participate) play this game. It sure is a great opportunity to see grown ups play a kid's game. Card games or monopoly can also be a great option for a kids vs. dads match!
Decorating tablecloth
Are the kids getting tired of waiting for the meal? You can have them decorate an inexpensive yet presentable tablecloth with the use of permanent markers. With this, the kids will be able to show their art in decorating while having fun.
Outdoor games
An entertaining game called toss the hat is great for everyone. Take a Santa hat and position it from afar. Let the participants toss colorful candies and other items into the hat without missing. A relay game using Santa hat is also suitable for the holiday theme.
Best and worst presents
Another interactive table game is sharing the worst and best presents everyone had last Christmas. Just ensure that the person who gave you the worst gift is not around as you unfold your story! This can be an ideal activity before handing out dessert to everyone.
You can have a lot of exciting activities and games this Christmas to avoid boring your guests and relatives. You can add up your own game ideas and make this holiday a memorable one.

Friday, September 27, 2019

A Football Betting Strategy That Won't Break the Bank - Middling the Game

If you're looking for a football betting strategy that's almost guaranteed to make you money, you need to consider middling the game. The opportunities to do this are rare, but when you find one, you can win some money no matter how you place your bets!
Now, with this type of betting, you are actually going to place two bets: one early on, when the betting first opens, and the other later, after the spread changes. You can see why this doesn't happen very often!
To help you understand, let's look at an example. Say the Jets are favored to win by seven early, so you put a bet on them to win. A few days before the game, the ratio to changed to by 10. Now, you can place a second bet that the Jets will win by 10.
What happens in this case? Well, the worst case scenario, the Jets lose, and you lose your money. However, if the Jets win, then you get to push the money you bet, plus make a little from your first bet. Then, if the Jets win by 10 or more, you'll have won the money from both bets.
Of course, the opportunities to use this strategy don't come along every day. And you also need to do your homework - know who's injured, the weather and how that will affect game play, and all the other details. But if you have the knowledge, you have a chance to make some serious money off this type of bet.

Sports Betting Strategy - How to Win Your Betting in Football

Today, many non-professionals are into sports gambling. Soccer has never lost its color ever since it began its journey. So, little wonder why so many gambling fans try to hunt down a definite sport betting strategy for football.
Currently, football is among the most popular sport that bettors like to try their lucks with. This is especially true for the sports bettors in US. In weekends, a lot of folk can't help hanging around major gambling spots in Vegas. Good examples are point spreads and totals. But 'money lines' still considered a most popular bet categories.
Naturally, football is regarded a particularly popular sport on parlay. Parlay however, means that you bet on several games with a single ticket. On the other hand, point spreads refer to the amount a team would win / lose. The totals you get are meant to be bet on the total points that both of the teams scored.
And finally, the 'money line' kind of bets is those that are all about winning or losing your bet game outright. There's no query of point spreads here, but there may be probabilities that your gambling will get more even.
You can consider placing bet at a window in a suitable sports book. That's the way you're supposed to place the bet. If you do, then take those to a ticket writer. The actuality is that, these will be offering lower probabilities of wins, compared to your gambling from that board by number. Then again, it'll offer more convenience relatively. If you bet on only one single game, inform that writer that you'd like to go for straight betting. This is the time when you gave him the number of your team. Proceeding in such systematic way is all part of successful sport betting strategy.
And when you bet a parlay, do not forget to inform the writer that you're about to bet a parlay. After that, list down all of the teams and/or game numbers you like. This should be followed by informing the sum you are intending to bet. The more you get used to it, the better your sport betting strategy gets.

Across the Board Horse Racing Betting Strategy and Best Bets

The across the board bet is one of the simplest bets to  make. If you're at a race track you simply tell the teller, or tote, that you want to bet a horse across the board. If you're using a machine or computer it may be marked as, "WPS," meaning win, place, and show.
If the runner manages to finish first, second, or third, you collect something. There are many things to be considered, however before making the wager. First of all, just because you collect when the horse finishes in the money, it doesn't mean you'll make a profit. Many horses pay less than $6 to show and that is the cost of a base bet when you put $2 across the board on a horse.
Which horses should you bet across the board? Most of the time, you should only make that wager on a long shot that will pay at least $6 to show, but that betting strategy only works if the runner is not being backed heavily in the show pools. Sometimes, even though a horse is a long shot, the bettors will put quite a bit of money on it to place and show because they believe it has a chance to finish in the money.
There are enough people who bet long shots to place or show, hoping to catch a horse that is under bet and that will pay well in the second or third position to make it necessary to check the pools if you're looking for the best bet. Unless you have access to information about those pools, however, this reasoning is often faulty because there will be a higher percentage of the show pool or place pool wagered on the horse than there is win money.
The best bet to place or show is a horse that is taking less money in the place or show pool  than it is taking to win. Since those pools normally have less money than the win pool, this is best represented by a percentage. If you're looking for an easy bet that will have three chances to payoff, then the WPS bet is a possibility, but if you're looking for a profitable bet, checking the percentages and then choosing a horse that is taking some action in the win pool but that is taking a smaller percentage in the place or show pool is probably a better wager.
Just remember that there are no guarantees in life and any bet on a horse race involves risk.

How To Win Roulette With Reverse Roulette Strategy

Although there are many roulette strategies available, it is hard to find one that can make you win most of times. Many betting guides are developed based on progressive betting strategy that will inherently fail in the long run. Reverse Roulette Strategy is the only mathematically proven winning strategy that can help you beat the game and enable you to consistently walk away with net winnings.
I believe you have tried your best to find a winning strategy to beat roulette. If you have yet to win consistently at the game, it is time to get to know how the Reverse Roulette Strategy works.
Unlike most betting strategies that depend on progressive betting on every loss, that will cause you to experience large unrecoverable loss at any time you hit a long losing streak, Reverse Roulette Strategy is designed to beat the game without the need to increase the bet amount while increasing the odd of winning up to 75%, makes you win most of times.
There is no one strategy in the earth will increase your odds of winning 100% every time, if you found one, you can become the richest man in the world. Any roulette strategy that increases the odds of winning without relying on progressive betting strategy or risking huge losses is a good betting system. Reverse Roulette System is one of them. Let me elaborate further how this strategy works.
Each betting area at roulette table has certain chance of winning, as well as the chance of losing. It has been designed to provide house advantage so that the casino operators will make net profit from the game. As a player, the only way to win at the wheel is to increase the chance of winning so that you are at the advantage edge to beat the game. The Reverse Roulette Strategy requires the players to bet on several sections simultaneously in order to make the odds of losing lower than the winning odds so that you stay at the best chance of winning for each outcome, and generate net profit in the long run.
By following the betting strategy in Reverse Roulette System, you will increase the odds of winning up to 75%, meaning that your bet will result in a win three out of four times, making you win more times and lose. The strategy is developed based on a proven mathematical formula that gives advantage to the players to beat the wheel. You have to use the strategy with a right expectation because it is not a sure-win strategy to make your odds of winning 100% every bet. But, it is one of the mathematical guaranteed ways that you can beat roulette if you bet according to the strategy.
Summary
Reverse Roulette Strategy is among the very few betting strategies that provide a guaranteed way for players to beat the game with proven mathematical formula, and without the need to risk huge losses like many of roulette strategy guides in the market.

Best Sports Betting System - Turn That Frown, and Those Losses, Upside Down

The progressive form of sports betting is one of the leading betting systems in the world.  In a world full of scam artists and lackluster systems, the fact that a legitimate format of investment can exist is amazing.  However, what's truly amazing is that the progressive thought in betting, doesn't require from its creators a need to inflate its win rate in order to survive.  The fact is, inflation happens a lot more than most people want to believe.  In order to get customers, most companies exaggerate their numbers, usually to the high 90% range.  While these seem like great deals, the true test of a sports betting system is whether or not the average person can use it effectively, and progressive investing exceeds passing. 
In the last five years, the progressive system has recorded an 85% win rate.  That's higher than most of the systems available.  The numbers are so high because, instead of using outdated information and taking guesses, Analysts utilizes statistical analysis in order to make NBA picks, NHL picks, NFL picks and MLB picks.  While there are different win rates for each sport, overall this system is perfect for people who are prepared to be patient and settle for steady increases in wealth over time as opposed to going all or nothing on large deals which could easily shatter.  Whether you are a small time gambler or a seasoned veteran, you could benefit from having someone else show you a system that will allow you to turn losing bets into winning choices. 
It's important to mention the transformation of losing into winning because, occasionally, people can and will make incorrect choices.  For the high risk crowd, one wrong bet could mean the difference between financial security and being left destitute.  For the low risk crowd, like those involved in progressive betting, one bad day is simply a down day. 
The trick to having a successful sports betting system is learning how to use money efficiently.  You could win almost every time and still wind up with nothing if you use your funds recklessly.  When you learn and master the discipline and control that progressive investing teaches, you will be able to choose picks based on numbers alone, not emotions and your gambling will be better off for it.  The progressive approach allows enough control over finances to brace for error picks, allowing the investor to have a greater ROI over time, through the good and rough patches.

 
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